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Fonterra lifts forecast payout sharply

Fonterra has announced a payout before retentions for the coming season of $6.90-$7.10/kg milksolids (MS) but has indicated that if favourable conditions remain this could rise to over $8/kg MS.

A milk price of $6.60/kg MS and distributable profit of 30-50c/share is being forecast.

Chairman Sir Henry van der Heyden said this represented an increase of  50c on the forecast milk price for the current season, but an updated forecast will follow its annual budgeting process in late July. The current forecast will see retentions from the distributable profit of  25-35 percent.

If international dairy prices and foreign exchange rates remain at current levels for most of the coming year, it was possible the 2010/11 payout could be well over $8/kg.  The $6.90-7.10 payout reflected a more cautious outlook given the high degree of volatility in the market.

"... farmers doing their budgets for the coming season should base their planning around a payout broadly in line with this year," he said.

The co-op's fair value share (FVS) price for 2010/11 is to remain at $4.52/share. In November last year, shareholders voted to move to a restricted market value range  with the independent valuer, Grant Samuel, determining the value range of $3.95-$4.58/share with a mid-point of $4.27.  This represents an 11.5 percent increase on the value range mid-point of $3.83 estimated in December.

 



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